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The beginning of last week was marked by a slight increase in all major US stock indices.

Market participants were waiting for a busy week, loaded with important economic data and quarterly reports of the largest banks, as well as the speech of the Chairman of the Federal Reserve System Jerome Powell in the US Congress. The increase in the yield on long-term US government bonds led to a moderate increase in the quotations of shares in the banking segment.

On Tuesday the stock market saw some decline as the investor reacted to the released data, which reflected the unexpected acceleration of inflation in the US in June. Labor Department report showed that the consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.9% last month, the largest gain since June 2008 after rising 0.6% in May. In the 12 months to June, the CPI jumped 5.4%. This was the largest gain since August 2008, following a 5.0% gain in the 12 months to May. Excluding volatile food and energy, CPI accelerated 0.9% after rising 0.7% in May. The so-called core CPI rose 4.5% on an annualized basis, the largest increase since November 1991 after rising 3.8% in May. The annual inflation rate was boosted by the decline in last spring's weak values based on the CPI. Economists had forecast that the general CPI would rise 0.5% and the core CPI - 0.4%.

The next day American stock market experienced mixed dynamics after the comments of the US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, prepared for the hearings in Congress. He said that there is still a long way to go before reaching the “standard of substantial further progress” [in achieving the Fed's goals of maximum employment and price stability], and also reiterated that the rise in prices would be temporary. This helped to allay fears that increased inflationary pressures could prompt Fed policymakers to begin cutting back on their asset purchases soon.

On Thursday the market showed mostly negative dynamics. According to a report by the US Department of Labor, the number of Americans who filed new applications for unemployment benefits fell last week as the labor market steadily picks up steam. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell 26,000 to a seasonally adjusted 360,000 in the week ending July 10. This is a new low since the start of the coronavirus pandemic in March 2020. Economists forecasted 360,000 applications for the last week.

The week ended with a drop in major US stock indexes by almost 1% after information about a sudden drop in consumer sentiment in the US in early July. The University of Michigan said consumer sentiment in the United States fell sharply and unexpectedly in early July, reaching its lowest level in five months. According to the university, its preliminary consumer sentiment index fell to 80.8 in the first half of this month - the lowest since February - from a final reading of 85.5 in June. Economists forecasted the index would rise to 86.5. Research director Richard Curtin said the main reason for the fall in the index was fears of inflation, which undermined confidence in the economic recovery. The University of Michigan estimates that annual inflation expectations rose to their highest level since August 2008 - up 4.8% from 4.2% in June, while five-year inflation expectations rose to 2.9% from 2.8%. The market was also under pressure from data on the unfavorable situation with the COVID-19 epidemic.

 

 

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