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The past week began with the national holiday of the United States - Independence Day, respectively, the trading was closed.

The first day after the holiday was negative for the market. A report from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) showed that activity in the US services sector continued to expand at a strong pace in June, but the pace of growth slowed from the previous month as demand slowed and firms struggled to find candidates to fill open vacancies. The ISM services PMI fell to 60.1 from a record 64.0 in May, according to the report. Economists predicted a PMI of 63.5. Market participants watched oil prices closely after the OPEC + group of oil-producing countries failed to reach an agreement to increase oil production due to resistance from the United Arab Emirates (UAE), leaving the current level at August. This pushed oil prices to six-year highs. Then, however, a pullback followed. Investors worried that the deadlock in negotiations between the world's largest oil producers could escalate into a price war that could stall the global recovery. Investors also reacted negatively to the new tough measures by the Chinese authorities against technology companies, whose shares are listed on US exchanges.

On Wednesday the American stock market showed a slight increase, the main reason was the continuing decline in the yield of long-term US government bonds, which supported the shares of large technology companies. This led to a rise in the price of shares of technology giants Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT). Investors scrutinized the minutes of the last Fed meeting, which revealed how much Fed leaders revised their economic forecasts in the light of positive dynamics from vaccinations and fiscal stimulus, as well as in light of supply chain problems and shortages. Fed officials are ready to start discussions at their next meeting, July 27-28, on when and how to cut $ 120 billion in monthly purchases of Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities.

The next day the main factor influencing the American stock indices was once again the coronavirus pandemic, namely the spread of a new, more infectious strain. The Japanese government has announced an extension of the state of emergency in Tokyo until August 22 due to the rapid rise in the number of cases of the so-called delta variant of the coronavirus, which means that the Olympic Games will likely be held without spectators. The US statistics were also not very optimistic. The Labor Department said initial jobless claims for the week ended July 3 rose from 2,000 to 373,000 on a seasonally adjusted basis. Economists forecasted 350,000 hits in the past week. The data, indicating that the US labor market recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic continues to be fragile, came a day after the minutes of the last meeting of the US Federal Reserve System (FRS) were published, which noted that last month, central bank policymakers believed that “ significant further progress ”in the overall US economic recovery has not yet been achieved.

Nevertheless, the week ended with a noticeable gain as a result of the rebound after the sell-off the day before. The stock market was also supported by reports that Pfizer (PFE) and BioNTech (BNTX) are working on a special booster vaccine against the delta variant of the coronavirus. The top gainers were shares in companies that are expected to benefit the most from the restart of the economy, including shares in energy companies and banking institutions. Financial stocks also rose markedly as the yield on 10-year Treasuries rose 6 basis points to 1.356%, halting an eight-day rally in the bond market. Meanwhile, the shares of large tech companies showed more modest growth, the reason for which was the announcement that US President Joe Biden plans to sign an executive order aimed at increasing competition in the sector.

 

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