One of the main news of the past week for the US stock market was the details of the infrastructure part of the proposed investment package, according to which the planned investment amount will be $ 2.3 trillion, distributed over 8 years.
US President Joe Biden said that a critical part of the project is investment in transport infrastructure, which will amount to $ 621 billion. In addition, funds will be used to improve housing, stimulate research and industry, and develop initiatives to combat climate change. The methods of financing infrastructure investments also deserve special attention - in addition to the corporate tax return to 28%, it is also planned to increase the minimum corporate tax to 21% and introduce a number of actions to reduce opportunities for tax evasion.
Republican opponents of the project have already stated that the proposed infrastructure development is a pretext for raising taxes, which in turn will damage the labor market. Thus, Mitch McConnell noted that the proposed investment plan prioritizes the interests of the Democrats, while emphasizing the too large amount of funds allocated for "green energy".
There is no unity among the democrats either. The most criticized limit of $ 10 thousand for tax deductions. As a result, significant changes in the investment project can be expected, and the deadline for its adoption is likely to be shifted to October.
At the end of the week, official data on the US labor market was released, showing a high rate of recovery from the pandemic. Thus, the number of jobs outside the agricultural sector in March increased by 916 thousand, which was the maximum growth since August 2020. At the same time, the official data turned out to be better than market expectations for an increase in the indicator by 660 thousand, and better than the ADP estimate, which previously showed an increase of only 517 thousand jobs. It is also worth noting that the data on the new number of jobs for February were revised upwards and amounted to 468 thousand, which is almost 100 thousand more than the previous estimate. Significant increases in employment have occurred in the areas most affected by the pandemic - the entertainment, hospitality and education sectors. As a result, the unemployment rate fell by 0.2% to 6%, in line with market expectations. Strong labor market data heightened fears of an imminent tightening of monetary policy, and yields immediately jumped to growth. The yield on ten-year securities after the publication of unemployment data rose from 1.67% per annum to levels of about 1.72% per annum.