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Last week began for the main US stock indices with slight increase, offsetting the initial losses due to еру fears of escalating geopolitical tensions between Iran and the United States after the assassination of an Iranian general in Baghdad by US troops.

Tehran threatened to avenge the killing of military commander Kassem Suleimani the president warned that the United States would strike back, “possibly in a disproportionate way” if Iran strikes any US citizen or facility. Meanwhile, the Iranian regime said on Sunday that it would not comply with the uranium enrichment restrictions imposed by the 2015 nuclear deal. In general, the desire to buy cheaper stocks after a sharp fall on Friday suggested that geopolitical unrest does not cause excessive anxiety among market participants, but merely serves as a convenient excuse to take some money from the market and adjust the market, which has grown excessively on a short-term basis. Investors were also attracted some attention by the US data, which showed that the final index of business activity in the US services sector from Markit rose in December to 52.8 from a preliminary value of 52.2. Composite PMI rose to 52.7 from the preliminary 52.2 - the highest since April 2019. The price index for services rose in December to 52.9 from 50.3 in November. This is the highest indicator since February 2019 and the growth was observed for the third month in a row. Meanwhile, the employment index rose to the highest level since July 2019.

The difficult environment continued to affect the stock market on Tuesday, as investors continued to weigh the geopolitical risks associated with the conflict between the US and Iran. An Iranian security official noted that 13 “revenge scenarios” had been developed and even the weakest one could be a “historical nightmare” for the United States. Market participants also focused on macroeconomic data, which turned out to be better than expected. The report by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) showed that activity in the US services sector grew in December at a faster pace than expected. According to the report, the ISM non-manufacturing index rose to 55.0 in December after falling to 53.9 in November. Economists had expected the index to reach 54.5.

The day after the US President addressed the nation and stock indices rose significantly. Addressing the American people, Trump said that, in his opinion, Iran had retreated in a conflict with the United States. The support for the market was also provided by the ADP report, which showed that the level of employment in the US private sector jumped in December much more than expected. Private sector employment grew by 202,000 jobs in December after an increase of 128,000 jobs in November. Economists expected employment to increase by 160,000 from the +67,000 originally reported in the previous month.

On Thursday, the main US stock indexes rose significantly, as tensions between Iran and the United States at the moment weakened, while optimism about the conclusion of a trade agreement between the United States and China contributed to the movement of Wall Street to new records. China's Commerce Department said Thursday that Deputy Prime Minister Liu He will sign an agreement on the first phase of a deal in Washington next week, which gives hope that the protracted tariff war between the two largest economies in the world will end. Market participants also received favorable data from the Department of Labor, which showed that the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the US fell to its lowest level in five weeks. According to the report, the number of applications for unemployment benefits fell from 9,000 to 214,000 for the week ending January 4, which turned out to be lower than estimates (220,000). The four-week average fell to 224,000. In addition, Wall Street's leading analysts' ratings / target value ratings supported individual stocks, including Facebook (FB), Apple (AAPL), Amazon.com (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOGL) and Microsoft Corp. (MSFT).

The week ended in the “red zone” due to weaker than expected US employment data. According to a report of the Ministry of Labor, non-farm employment increased last month by 145,000. Some deceleration in December is likely due to seasonal volatility associated with a later than usual Thanksgiving. Economists forecasted the employment growth of 164,000 in December. Additional pressure on the market was provided by the fall in Boeing (BA) shares after the company announced internal correspondence of employees in which they criticized the development of 737 Max aircraft. Boeing said the communications were "completely unacceptable" and "do not reflect the company we are and should be."

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