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The week began for the US stock market with notable positive dynamics after reports of the promotion of trade negotiations between the US and China and growing hopes that the largest economies will take measures to reduce the negative impact of the escalation of tension in world trade.

Over the weekend, US President Donald Trump and his economic adviser Larry Kudlow said that the negotiations with China are going well. In addition, Trump wrote on Twitter that Chinese officials could soon visit the White House for further negotiations. It also became known that the People's Bank of China took new measures to further reduce the real interest rate for companies in China in order to support economic growth. In addition, Apple Inc.'s strong stock growth 1.9% provided additional support to all three major indices. The shares of chip manufacturers, whose businesses are heavily dependent on China, also rose.

On Tuesday, the market moved to a moderate decline, despite strong growth in retailers Home Depot (HD). Pressure on the market was provided by the shares of major American banks such as Citigroup (C), Bank of America (BAC) and J.P. Morgan Chase (JPM), cheaper due to lower profitability of treasury operations. Investors were waiting for the publication of the minutes of the July Fed meeting on Wednesday and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's statement on Friday at the Fed’s annual Jackson Hole conference.

The next day, the market returned to growth due to strong quarterly reporting by retailers Lowe's (LOW) and Target (TGT). The Fed's protocol showed that most executives considered the cut in rates in July to be a recalibration of policies and not the beginning of a more aggressive cycle of easing them, and at the last FOMC meeting, they were reluctant to predict the future rate path. The protocol indicated that Fed leaders expect the uncertainty surrounding the Trump administration’s trade policy to continue, which will have a “lasting negative impact” on the prospects for the US economy.

On Thursday, the main US stock indices mostly declined, as the publication of weaker-than-expected US data raised new concerns about the state of the economy. An IHS Markit report showed that the index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector declined in August for the first time in almost a decade, amid fears that a trade conflict between the US and China could lead to a recession. Meanwhile, the data on the index of business activity for the service sector indicated a slowdown compared with the previous month.

The week ended in the “red zone” due to sharply escalated tensions in relations between the US and China. The Customs Commission on Tariffs of the Chinese State Council said it had decided to introduce tariffs ranging from 5% to 10% for US goods worth $ 75 billion in two phases - September 1 and December 15. In addition, China intends to renew 25% tariffs on American cars from December 15. In response, the US president said on Twitter: “We do not need China, and, frankly, without them it would be much better.” He also ordered US companies to begin looking for alternatives to manufacturing in China. Fed Chairman Powell, in a speech at a Jackson Hole conference, noted that trade policy uncertainty is the reason for "slowdown in global growth and weak US production and capital expenditures." He also added that the Fed would act accordingly to “support the growth of the economy,” which prompted some investors to raise expectations for lower interest rates at the next meeting.

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