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The end of 2018 was not very pleasant for the most part of crypto enthusiasts. However, a glass of champagne, the smell of pine needles and fireworks outside the window make it possible to overshadow the pessimistic blues and provide an opportunity to look at the situation more reasonably.

So, it can be stated that Bitcoin did not die, despite the waves of gloomy predictions that rose after each price drop. On the other hand, there was no take-off or stable growth either, and the volatility remains the main feature of the cryptocurrency market, which scares and simultaneously attracts traders. An important point: despite the negative dynamics of the market, the projects associated with the blockchain and cryptocurrencies have proven their viability and significance, which once again underlines that the cryptopart of our world will definitely not disappear.

Speaking about the prospects of the main cryptocurrency in the coming year, it is worth taking into account several important factors. The bulk of the BTC is in the hands of traders, so the cost of Bitcoin is still highly speculative, and a volatility of 10-15% will be considered the norm. Price manipulation will stop if the number of goods sold for bitcoins or bitcoins increases will begin to be regulated at the state level. It would not be superfluous to recall over-the-counter trades, which make up about 70% of the total BTC / USD turnover. Depending on the country, the transaction price may differ by up to 10% from the price of exchanges. Even the CEO of the well-known Binance Exchange, Changpen Zhao, argues that over-the-counter transactions are several times higher on the TOP-10 exchanges. A few words about miners - they are mainly concentrated in countries with cheap electricity, which affects the difference in the cost of one coin. During the day around the world, about 1,800 BTC are produced and they are immediately bought by agents of large investment funds at plus 5-7% of the price on the exchanges. There is an opinion that large players buy “hot bitcoins”, that is, only those that are inked, because they intend to keep them for a long term. They do not need BTC related to “black businesses”, since they owning them can lead to problems with international legal departments. All these points should be taken into account by all those who are trying to predict the dynamics of cryptocurrency rates.

By the way, there is a very interesting pattern: every two years the price of Bitcoin against the US dollar increases 10 times. Optimistic indicator for those who are accustomed to rely on statistics.

And yes, speaking of the prospects for the year - Satoshi Nakamoto in 2019 will not be found.

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