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13 Nov 09:16 What will happen with corporate tax?

Last week for the US stock market began with a record high of Nasdaq.

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13 Nov 09:05 Political crisis and oil

The previous week began with a slight shock for the oil market. On Sunday, the Supreme Anti-Corruption Committee of Saudi Arabia ordered the detention of about 40 influential people, including members of the royal family, former ministers, military and entrepreneurs. On the same day, Prince Mansour bin Mukrin was killed in a plane crash in the south of the country. There were other high-ranking officials on board the helicopter. The explosive price increase did not take long. On Monday morning, Brent crude oil was sold at $ 62.81 per barrel, and by the end of the day the price for it reached 64.21 dollars per barrel. The last time this mark was the price of a barrel of oil was in June 2015. Most experts hastened to blame speculators in all, who took advantage of the situation. At the moment, stability of oil prices is needed to balance the budget and to successfully conduct IPO Saudi Aramco.

Indeed, the decline in prices began the next day and continued until the end of the week. However, it is worth noting that, compared with the growth rate, the decline was not very significant. Investors were concerned about the tension between Saudi Arabia and Iran. Riyadh called the rocket launch by Yemeni Husit rebels an outrageous act of military aggression by the Iranian regime, which could be seen in the future as an act of war against the kingdom. The missile was destroyed by the air defense forces, but the problem has not disappeared anywhere.

Of course, Tehran rejected all claims. The official representative of the Iranian Foreign Ministry, Bahram Kasemi, characterized the accusations made by Riyadh of involvement in the launching of a rocket from Yemen as destructive and irresponsible. In addition, Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said that Saudi Arabia accuses Tehran of the consequences of its "aggressive wars." According to him, Saudi Arabia "is waging aggressive wars, engaging in regional oppression, carrying out destabilizing behavior and risky provocations."

The Reuters agency, commenting on the situation, quotes Olivier Jakob, an analyst of Petromatrix, that Saudi Arabia has really turned its back on Iran. On the one hand, this increases the global level of geopolitical risk, but also increases the difficulties in achieving a consensus within OPEC.
Iran was not alone. Saudi Arabia on Thursday asked its subjects to leave Lebanon after Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri announced his resignation as premier of Lebanon while in Riyadh. In the speech broadcast by the Saudi Al-Arabiya channel, he accused the Shiite movement Hezbollah and Iran of inciting hatred in Lebanon and the Arab world and said that he had learned of the attempted assassination attempt on him. On the same day, the media also reported on a possible reduction in oil exports from Saudi Arabia to all regions next month. Bloomberg agency wrote that the volume of supplies will drop by 120 thousand barrels per day in comparison with November.



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06 Nov 18:36 Fed's news

American stock market began last week with light decline after the reports about the discussion in the House of Representatives of the introduction of corporate taxation plans by President Trump.

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06 Nov 18:31 Perspectives of OPEC agreement

The past week began with reports from Iraq on the resumption of oil production in the province of Kirkuk after clashes between government forces and Kurds, which provoked disruptions in the supply of oil by the second largest producer of OPEC.

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30 Oct 11:19 Sliding stock market

The main US stock indexes began a week in the "red zone" after the collapse of shares of General Electric and the reduction of quotations of the conglomerate sector. Released data showed that the revival of production activity led to sharp improvement in the index of economic activity from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago last month, but weaker indicators, which remained negative for many months, restrain the average value of the index, and to improve it will take several months of noticeable growth. The index of economic activity from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago recovered to +0.17 from the revised -0.37 in August, which was another turn of the unstable measure over the past few months.

The next day the market moved to growth, and the Dow Jones index updated its record high, thanks to 3M and Caterpillar reports. In addition, data for October indicated a reliable and accelerated expansion of business activity in the private sector of the United States. The upswing was supported by the fastest growth in the manufacturing sector for eight months, along with yet another reliable growth in output in the services sector. Taking into account seasonal fluctuations, the composite PMI index from IHS Markit increased to 55.7 from 54.8 in September. The last reading reflected the fastest growth in private sector activity since January.

On Wednesday, the market again showed negative dynamics after the publication of a new portion of reports, including AT & T and Boeing, which made negative impression on investors. The profit of AT & T in the third quarter of 2017 financial years (FY) reached $ 0.74 per share (versus $ 0.74 in the third quarter of 2016 FY), which was below the average forecast of analysts at $ 0.75. Quarterly the revenue of the company was 39.668 billion (-3.0% y / y), while the average forecast of analysts was $ 40.335 billion. Meanwhile, Boeing's profit for the third quarter of 2017 FY reached $ 2.72 per share (against $ 3.51 in the third quarter of 2016 FG), which turned out to be above the average at $ 2.66. Quarterly revenue of the company was $ 24.309 billion (+ 1.7% y / y), while the average forecast of analysts was $ 24.090 billion.

On Thursday, the "slides" continued and the stock indexes mostly grew. As it became known, the number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits last week increased less than expected, indicating that the labor market continues to toughen after recent hurricane-related disruptions. Initial applications for unemployment benefits increased by 10,000 to 233,000, seasonally adjusted for the week to October 21, the Ministry of Labor said.

The week ended in the green zone, the main reason for this was once again the quarterly reports of the companies Amazon (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), Intel (INTC) and Alphabet (GOOG) were much better than analysts predicted. At the same time, support for the market was provided by statistical data on the United States. As it became known, US GDP grew by 3% per annum in the third quarter, despite the damage from two hurricanes, according to the Ministry of Commerce. This is higher than the expectations of economists (+ 2.5%), and only slightly below the growth rate of 3.1% in the second quarter.


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